Amurrio vs Mercedarias KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 1
AMU
67%
18%
16%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AMU
3 - 3
CDF
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ADC
1 - 2
AMU
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
AMU
1 - 0
ELP
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
IRU
2 - 2
AMU
40%
24%
37%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mercedarias KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MKE
0 - 0
CDS
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
IRU
1 - 2
MKE
79%
13%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MKE
0 - 1
CSV
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
ADC
2 - 3
MKE
71%
15%
14%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MKE
1 - 1
ZAR
25%
21%
53%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |