Amriswil vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
72.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amriswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
FRA
4 - 1
AMR
40%
23%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AMR
1 - 6
BAS
5%
13%
82%
|
21 | 85 | 64 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
SVS
5 - 2
AMR
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
AMR
2 - 3
FCB
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
AMR
1 - 0
KRE
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 2
TUG
66%
18%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
TUG
6 - 4
ETO
61%
21%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
OLD
3 - 5
TUG
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TUG
0 - 1
SCH
22%
23%
56%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
YVE
1 - 3
TUG
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |