Amriswil vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
82.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.7%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amriswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
SVS
5 - 2
AMR
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
AMR
2 - 3
FCB
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
AMR
1 - 0
KRE
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
WID
6 - 4
AMR
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AMR
3 - 1
FCD
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZUR
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CLU
1 - 0
BAS
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STG
2 - 1
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
CLU
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 0
LAU
78%
15%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |