Amriswil vs Arbon 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amriswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
AMR
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
AMR
3 - 0
FCD
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
KRE
3 - 1
AMR
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AMR
2 - 1
WID
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BAZ
4 - 0
AMR
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Arbon 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ARB
1 - 3
SCB
18%
22%
61%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FCB
3 - 4
ARB
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ARB
3 - 1
SEE
29%
24%
48%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
TOW
2 - 1
ARB
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
KUS
1 - 5
ARB
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |