SD Amorebieta vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
62.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
SDA
1 - 2
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SDA
1 - 1
ZAR
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VAD
2 - 1
SDA
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 1
SDA
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SDA
0 - 1
BUR
46%
29%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
BET
26%
26%
49%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
CEL
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 0
GRA
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
RAY
0 - 0
CEL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
SES
1 - 2
CEL
11%
20%
70%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |