Amora FC vs Lusitano Évora 1911 analysis

Amora FC Lusitano Évora 1911
54 ELO 63
-5.3% Tilt -8.9%
4227º General ELO ranking 3101º
75º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
36.5%
Amora FC
28%
Draw
35.5%
Lusitano Évora 1911

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
Amora FC
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.5%
Win probability
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Amora FC
+31%
+40%
Lusitano Évora 1911

Points and table prediction

Amora FC
Their league position
Lusitano Évora 1911
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
16
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lusitano Évora 1911
16
16
100%
Vitória Guimarães B
11
11
100%
USC Paredes
9
9
100%
Amora FC
8
8
100%
AD Marco 09
6
6
0%
O Elvas
6
6
0%
Leça FC
6
6
0%
Fatima
3
3
100%
Expected probabilities
Amora FC
Lusitano Évora 1911
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Amora FC
Lusitano Évora 1911
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Amora FC
Amora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2025
AMO
Amora FC
1 - 1
O Elvas
OEL
28%
27%
45%
54 72 18 0
11 May. 2025
AMO
Amora FC
2 - 0
Fatima
FAT
48%
26%
26%
53 53 0 +1
04 May. 2025
ALE
Lusitano Évora 1911
3 - 1
Amora FC
AMO
49%
27%
25%
53 60 7 0
27 Apr. 2025
OEL
O Elvas
0 - 0
Amora FC
AMO
59%
25%
16%
53 73 20 0
13 Apr. 2025
MOU
Moura
1 - 2
Amora FC
AMO
10%
20%
70%
52 27 25 +1

Matches

Lusitano Évora 1911
Lusitano Évora 1911
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2025
FAT
Fatima
0 - 1
Lusitano Évora 1911
ALE
34%
28%
38%
62 52 10 0
11 May. 2025
OEL
O Elvas
1 - 4
Lusitano Évora 1911
ALE
53%
27%
20%
61 73 12 +1
04 May. 2025
ALE
Lusitano Évora 1911
3 - 1
Amora FC
AMO
49%
27%
25%
60 53 7 +1
27 Apr. 2025
ALE
Lusitano Évora 1911
3 - 0
Fatima
FAT
51%
27%
22%
59 51 8 +1
13 Apr. 2025
ALE
Lusitano Évora 1911
1 - 2
Estrela da Amadora B
EST
67%
20%
13%
59 28 31 0