Amora FC vs Lusitano Évora 1911 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
4º
7º
4º
16
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 6 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
AMO
1 - 1
OEL
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AMO
2 - 0
FAT
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ALE
3 - 1
AMO
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
OEL
0 - 0
AMO
59%
25%
16%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MOU
1 - 2
AMO
10%
20%
70%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
FAT
0 - 1
ALE
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
OEL
1 - 4
ALE
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ALE
3 - 1
AMO
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALE
3 - 0
FAT
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ALE
1 - 2
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |