Ammerthal vs Fortuna Regensburg analysis

Ammerthal Fortuna Regensburg
41 ELO 47
-1% Tilt 11.6%
6328º General ELO ranking 4310º
331º Country ELO ranking 192º
ELO win probability
28.2%
Ammerthal
23.8%
Draw
48%
Fortuna Regensburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
Ammerthal
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48%
Win probability
Fortuna Regensburg
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ammerthal
-26%
-8%
Fortuna Regensburg

Points and table prediction

Ammerthal
Their league position
Fortuna Regensburg
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
16º
15º
53
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
VfB Eichstätt
74
74
100%
Eltersdorf
73
73
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
66
66
100%
ATSV Erlangen
62
62
100%
ASV Cham
55
55
100%
Fortuna Regensburg
53
53
100%
Weiden
50
50
100%
TSV Kornburg
47
47
100%
Neudrossenfeld
46
46
0%
Würzburger FV
10º
46
46
10º
0%
Bayern Hof
11º
43
43
11º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
13º
41
41
13º
100%
TSV Abtswind
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Ammerthal
15º
35
35
15º
100%
DJK Gebenbach
16º
35
35
16º
100%
FC Eintracht Münchberg
17º
20
20
17º
100%
TSV Karlburg
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ammerthal
Fortuna Regensburg
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ammerthal
Fortuna Regensburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ammerthal
Ammerthal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2025
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
2 - 1
Ammerthal
AMM
69%
18%
13%
40 52 12 0
09 Mar. 2025
AMM
Ammerthal
0 - 3
VfB Eichstätt
EIC
21%
22%
57%
41 51 10 -1
15 Feb. 2025
VIL
Vilzing
3 - 0
Ammerthal
AMM
72%
16%
12%
41 53 12 0
28 Jan. 2025
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
6 - 4
Ammerthal
AMM
76%
16%
9%
41 60 19 0
29 Nov. 2024
WEI
Weiden
2 - 2
Ammerthal
AMM
49%
23%
29%
41 41 0 0

Matches

Fortuna Regensburg
Fortuna Regensburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2025
REG
Fortuna Regensburg
3 - 1
FC Eintracht Münchberg
FCE
78%
14%
9%
46 29 17 0
07 Mar. 2025
ELT
Eltersdorf
1 - 0
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
55%
23%
22%
46 53 7 0
01 Mar. 2025
TSK
TSV Karlburg
0 - 2
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
10%
15%
75%
45 24 21 +1
01 Feb. 2025
REG
Fortuna Regensburg
3 - 4
Vilzing
VIL
27%
21%
53%
45 53 8 0
23 Nov. 2024
REG
Fortuna Regensburg
1 - 1
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
32%
22%
47%
44 51 7 +1