Amkar Perm vs Uralets TS Nizhnyi Tagil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.4%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
1º
23
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 63 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 56 |
2º
|
64% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 47 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 43 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 42 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 29 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 26 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 21 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 19 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amkar Perm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
RKZ
1 - 1
PER
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
PER
5 - 0
NOS
80%
16%
4%
|
71 | 28 | 43 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
KHI
1 - 2
PER
23%
27%
50%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
PER
1 - 0
KRS
62%
24%
14%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
KAZ
0 - 3
PER
23%
26%
50%
|
71 | 27 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Uralets TS Nizhnyi Tagil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
UNT
4 - 1
URA
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
UNT
2 - 1
FKA
75%
14%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
RKZ
3 - 1
UNT
36%
22%
42%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
UNT
0 - 1
NOS
75%
15%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
KHI
2 - 2
UNT
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |