Amkar Perm vs KDV Tomsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+621%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
3º
1º
12
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
20 | 60 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 49 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 45 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 45 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 44 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 42 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 35 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 26 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 25 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 25 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 23 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 20 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
85% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 32.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amkar Perm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
KHI
1 - 2
PER
23%
27%
50%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
PER
1 - 0
KRS
62%
24%
14%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
KAZ
0 - 3
PER
23%
26%
50%
|
71 | 27 | 44 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
PER
3 - 1
VNO
61%
25%
14%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
KDV
0 - 0
PER
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
KDV Tomsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FKA
1 - 3
KDV
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ORE
2 - 2
KDV
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
KDV
4 - 2
FCC
14%
18%
69%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +4 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
DIN
0 - 0
KDV
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
KDV
0 - 0
PER
22%
25%
53%
|
12 | 70 | 58 | +1 |