Amkar Perm vs Chelyabinsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
1º
11
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 63 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 56 |
2º
|
64% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 47 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 43 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 42 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 29 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 26 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 21 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 19 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amkar Perm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
FKA
1 - 5
PER
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 25 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
URA
0 - 2
PER
6%
18%
76%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
PER
1 - 0
UNT
77%
17%
6%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
RKZ
1 - 1
PER
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
PER
5 - 0
NOS
80%
16%
4%
|
71 | 28 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Chelyabinsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
FCC
0 - 1
UNT
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
RKZ
0 - 1
FCC
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
FCC
1 - 1
NOS
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
KHI
2 - 1
FCC
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
FCC
1 - 0
KRS
35%
23%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |