Amiternina vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiternina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
AMI
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
AMI
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
AMI
1 - 1
AVE
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AMI
2 - 2
CHI
28%
27%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
JES
2 - 0
AMI
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
REC
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FVE
1 - 1
FER
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FER
2 - 2
GIU
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ISE
1 - 0
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FER
2 - 2
MAT
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |