Amistad Alcorcon A vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
31.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+114%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amistad Alcorcon A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAA
1 - 4
AAO
54%
19%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
AAO
3 - 1
CEP
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LMJ
1 - 3
AAO
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AAO
4 - 3
NUE
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TDC
0 - 5
AAO
26%
20%
54%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UCA
1 - 4
MUN
32%
22%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SPB
3 - 2
UCA
40%
22%
39%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UCA
7 - 1
ATL
33%
21%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FOB
1 - 2
UCA
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MAA
2 - 1
UCA
67%
16%
17%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |