Amistad Alcorcon A vs Lucero-Linces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amistad Alcorcon A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 1
AAO
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AAO
1 - 2
ATZ
84%
12%
5%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 7
AAO
20%
20%
61%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
AAO
2 - 0
PCO
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 4
AAO
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LUL
4 - 3
ACS
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
LUL
0 - 0
ALU
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
YSB
1 - 2
LUL
37%
24%
38%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
LUL
1 - 0
LAA
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SPH
3 - 1
LUL
28%
26%
46%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |