Amiens SC U19 vs Montfermeil U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
4º
39
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SRA
0 - 2
AMI
18%
18%
64%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AMI
1 - 2
LIL
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DRA
3 - 4
AMI
14%
19%
67%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AMI
3 - 0
REI
62%
19%
20%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 2
AMI
42%
23%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Montfermeil U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
LEN
31%
21%
47%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
REI
2 - 1
MON
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MON
5 - 1
CAE
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GON
2 - 1
MON
11%
16%
73%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -3 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
LEN
38%
22%
40%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |