Amiens SC U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
4º
36
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
AMI
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AMI
2 - 0
DKQ
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 1
AMI
68%
18%
15%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 2
AMI
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AMI
2 - 2
REI
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 3
LEN
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
REI
1 - 1
CAE
28%
23%
50%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 0
HAV
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +3 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 2
CAE
13%
17%
70%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
QUE
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |