Amiens AC vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
72.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amiens AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
AAC
2 - 1
DIE
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AUB
1 - 0
AAC
39%
28%
33%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
USM
0 - 1
AAC
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AAC
0 - 2
ARR
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PSG
1 - 0
AAC
43%
28%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
LIL
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
STL
66%
23%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LIL
3 - 0
LOR
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 2
LIL
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASS
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |