América vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VER
4 - 0
AME
26%
27%
48%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
CSH
3 - 0
AME
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AME
1 - 0
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PAC
0 - 0
AME
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
AME
2 - 0
SAP
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 2
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 1
ATS
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAZ
56%
23%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 2
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |