América U16 vs Toluca U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 1
AME
19%
20%
62%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AME
3 - 2
CZA
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 3
AME
27%
21%
51%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
JUA
1 - 0
AME
19%
20%
61%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
JUA
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DTO
3 - 0
JUA
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 2
DTO
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DTO
2 - 1
PUN
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 3
DTO
19%
19%
62%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
3 - 2
DTO
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |