Amberg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NEU
1 - 3
AMB
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AMB
0 - 0
SAN
81%
13%
7%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
JFO
2 - 2
AMB
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AMB
3 - 0
ERB
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 0
AMB
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAY
20%
22%
57%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
6 - 0
ERB
61%
22%
18%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WUR
3 - 1
BAY
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
SEL
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 2
BAY
19%
22%
59%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |