Amatitlán vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amatitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
COB
1 - 0
AMA
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AMA
4 - 1
ACH
40%
25%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
TEC
2 - 1
AMA
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
AMA
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ANT
3 - 2
UNI
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAC
0 - 2
UNI
38%
27%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
SAY
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TEC
1 - 1
UNI
20%
25%
56%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |