Amarante vs Vila Meã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 2
AMA
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 1
TIR
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
SMP
3 - 3
AMA
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
AMA
5 - 1
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
AMA
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
MIR
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
BSC
37%
23%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
SMA
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
TIR
1 - 0
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |