Amarante vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 1
AMA
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 0
INF
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FAF
2 - 2
AMA
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 2
RIB
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
OSL
2 - 0
AMA
51%
25%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
VAR
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
FAF
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 2
TIR
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
INF
0 - 0
VAR
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 1
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |