Amarante vs Valadares Gaia analysis


47	ELO	47
-6.4%	Tilt	-20.6%
3451º	General ELO ranking	25619º
58º	Country ELO ranking	570º
ELO win probability

38.3%

Amarante

25.9%

Draw

35.8%

Valadares Gaia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

38.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%

25.9%

Draw

0-0

6.8%

1-1

12.3%

2-2

5.6%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.8%

35.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-28%

-6%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

59

1º

5º

1º

24

3º

13º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

13º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	59	59	1º	100%
2º	45	45	2º	100%
3º	43	43	3º	100%
4º	41	41	4º	100%
5º	36	36	5º	100%
6º	35	35	6º	0%
7º	35	35	7º	0%
8º	34	34	8º	0%
9º	34	34	9º	0%
10º	33	33	10º	100%
11º	26	26	11º	100%
12º	24	24	12º	100%
13º	24	24	13º	100%
14º	22	22	14º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion play-offs	100%	0%
Mid-table	0%	0%
Relegation	0%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Amarante

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
24 Sep. 2023	SER 0 - 2 AMA 39% 28% 33%	44	44	0	0
17 Sep. 2023	AMA 3 - 0 VSC 77% 15% 9%	44	28	16	0
03 Sep. 2023	REB 2 - 2 AMA 49% 26% 25%	44	44	0	0
27 Aug. 2023	AMA 1 - 0 PAR 59% 24% 17%	43	40	3	+1
20 Aug. 2023	ADM 0 - 1 AMA 8% 17% 75%	42	9	33	+1

Matches

Valadares Gaia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
24 Sep. 2023	VAL 1 - 1 PEN 16% 22% 63%	47	60	13	0
17 Sep. 2023	VAL 0 - 0 REB 53% 25% 23%	47	45	2	0
10 Sep. 2023	VAL 4 - 0 TOR 73% 16% 11%	47	9	38	0
03 Sep. 2023	PAR 3 - 0 VAL 16% 24% 60%	49	40	9	-2
27 Aug. 2023	VAL 1 - 1 ADM 89% 9% 3%	49	9	40	0