Amarante vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
57.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GON
2 - 1
AMA
39%
27%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
SMA
2 - 3
AMA
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
AMA
82%
14%
4%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SCF
0 - 0
AMA
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 1
TRO
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 2
LUS
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
COV
3 - 2
UNM
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 1
VAR
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FAM
1 - 2
UNM
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 0
SPC
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |