Amarante vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 1
BSC
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 6
AMA
26%
24%
49%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 2
AMA
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BSC
1 - 1
AMA
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 1
MIR
54%
23%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BSC
2 - 2
TIR
33%
25%
43%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 2
AMA
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 0
TIR
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TIR
2 - 1
BSC
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |