Amarante vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
INF
3 - 4
AMA
29%
25%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
FAF
28%
25%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 0
AMA
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
OSL
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 1
AMA
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 1
VAR
46%
28%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AVE
3 - 1
TIR
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
INF
2 - 3
TIR
16%
23%
62%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 0
FAF
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |