Amarante vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
8º
8º
26
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
0 - 0
AMA
43%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
AMA
2 - 0
ATL
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 1
AMA
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
1DE
2 - 1
AMA
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
AMA
1 - 3
FAF
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SCP
0 - 0
FAF
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 1
SCP
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
SCP
3 - 0
1DE
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SCP
1 - 3
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ATL
0 - 0
SCP
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |