Amarante vs Padroense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 3
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VIZ
0 - 0
AMA
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
4 - 2
ANG
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ANA
1 - 2
AMA
47%
25%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
PAD
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Padroense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FEI
2 - 0
PAD
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 0
VAR
20%
25%
56%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
PAD
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
CIN
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
PAD
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |