Amarante vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 3
ESP
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 1
AMA
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
VAR
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 3
CIN
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FEL
1 - 2
AMA
31%
27%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FAR
5 - 0
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
IDE
3 - 1
FCC
69%
17%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 0
ALM
75%
15%
11%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 0
IDE
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
IDE
4 - 0
LUS
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |