Amarante vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
AMA
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
AMA
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
AMA
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 1
LUS
35%
28%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
36%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
CAN
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
AMA
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 3
CAN
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUS
39%
28%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |