Amarante U19 vs Vila Real U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
6º
2º
8
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 23 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 2
AMA
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 0
TRF
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
AMA
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 3
VIL
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 4
MER
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Vila Real U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
TRF
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 0
VIL
86%
10%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
OSL
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 1
VIL
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAR
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |