Amarante U19 vs Vila Real U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
9º
8º
5
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
AMA
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 3
CHA
19%
20%
60%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
OSL
2 - 4
AMA
60%
19%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 3
VAR
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 0
TRF
31%
22%
48%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Vila Real U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TRF
2 - 0
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MER
4 - 1
VIL
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 3
VIL
10%
16%
74%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 2
VIL
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
5 - 0
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |