Amapá Clube vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amapá Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
TDC
1 - 0
AMA
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2007 |
AMA
1 - 2
CRI
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 3
AMA
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 1
AMA
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SPM
1 - 2
AMA
23%
23%
55%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
SPM
5 - 1
SAN
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
TDC
1 - 0
SPM
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
SPM
0 - 1
SAO
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
CRI
2 - 1
SPM
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SPM
1 - 2
AMA
23%
23%
55%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |