Amanecer vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 3
AMA
23%
23%
54%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 0
MOR
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
PIO
1 - 1
AMA
13%
20%
68%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
AMA
3 - 2
CRS
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
AMA
1 - 2
CFJ
60%
21%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
CRS
62%
21%
18%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
TAL
2 - 1
MON
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
CFJ
34%
25%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
CIU
49%
24%
27%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PIO
1 - 3
MON
19%
22%
59%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |