Amadense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 2
AMA
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
CRB
17%
22%
61%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
5 - 1
COR
68%
19%
14%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SOC
2 - 0
AMA
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
BOC
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
BOQ
2 - 1
SER
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
SER
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SER
2 - 1
AMA
78%
14%
7%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |