Amadense vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
AMA
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 1
SOC
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 2
BOC
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
AMA
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 1
AMA
39%
25%
37%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 2
CON
13%
22%
65%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
LAG
44%
24%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
LAG
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 1
AMA
39%
25%
37%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |