Amadense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 1
AMA
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 2
AFP
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
SER
0 - 2
AMA
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
ABS
78%
14%
9%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITA
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 1
SAN
9%
18%
73%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SER
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CRB
0 - 0
ITA
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 2
ITA
22%
25%
54%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |