Amadense vs Guarany SE analysis


34	ELO	33
-4.5%	Tilt	-3.7%
27447º	General ELO ranking	9241º
801º	Country ELO ranking	395º
ELO win probability

45.5%

Amadense

23.5%

Draw

31.1%

Guarany SE

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

45.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%

23.5%

Draw

0-0

4.5%

1-1

10.7%

2-2

6.4%

3-3

1.7%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

23.5%

31.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-2%

+68%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Amadense

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
02 Apr. 2016	SOC 3 - 0 AMA 36% 24% 40%	35	31	4	0
26 Mar. 2016	AMA 4 - 0 SOC 47% 24% 29%	33	33	0	+2
19 Mar. 2016	GUA 1 - 2 AMA 46% 23% 30%	31	33	2	+2
12 Mar. 2016	AMA 1 - 1 LAG 44% 24% 33%	31	33	2	0
05 Mar. 2016	SER 1 - 1 AMA 77% 15% 8%	31	48	17	0

Matches

Guarany SE

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
02 Apr. 2016	GUA 0 - 0 LAG 48% 23% 29%	33	32	1
27 Mar. 2016	LAG 1 - 2 GUA 43% 25% 32%	33	33	0
19 Mar. 2016	GUA 1 - 2 AMA 46% 23% 30%	33	31	2
12 Mar. 2016	SOC 1 - 1 GUA 43% 26% 30%	33	33	0
05 Mar. 2016	GUA 1 - 1 ITA 32% 27% 41%	33	43	10