Amadense vs Guarany SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
PIR
5 - 0
AMA
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
AMA
0 - 0
LAG
36%
26%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
OSE
1 - 0
AMA
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2007 |
AMA
0 - 1
ITA
21%
26%
53%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
AMA
73%
18%
10%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 1
SER
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2007 |
AME
2 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
3 - 1
PIR
22%
26%
52%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +4 |