UD Alzira vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 1
ALZ
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ALZ
1 - 0
SIL
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
PAI
3 - 2
ALZ
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALZ
0 - 1
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
LEV
0 - 0
ALZ
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
ORI
27%
28%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
NUC
1 - 1
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
REC
63%
22%
16%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 1
NOV
22%
26%
53%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 1
NOV
64%
21%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |