UD Alzira vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NUC
1 - 0
ALZ
27%
29%
43%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALZ
1 - 0
ALT
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALZ
12%
25%
63%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALZ
2 - 0
ELD
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
LLO
1 - 3
ALZ
17%
27%
56%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAG
52%
25%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 1
NOV
75%
17%
8%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
BOR
33%
25%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
REQ
1 - 2
NOV
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 2
VIL
33%
26%
42%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |