UD Alzira vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
JOV
0 - 1
ALZ
37%
27%
37%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ALZ
1 - 0
TOR
65%
22%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
ALZ
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALZ
1 - 1
CRE
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ACE
0 - 2
ALZ
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
UTI
2 - 0
DEN
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
DEN
1 - 0
GAN
47%
26%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
DEN
62%
23%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DEN
2 - 0
VIL
36%
26%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SAG
0 - 2
DEN
38%
28%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |