UD Alzira vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ELD
3 - 0
ALZ
67%
17%
17%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ELC
5 - 0
ALZ
64%
18%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
ALZ
6 - 2
ALI
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALZ
72%
15%
13%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ALZ
1 - 1
SOR
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ASP
2 - 0
CFC
63%
18%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ASP
3 - 1
NOV
67%
17%
17%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
GAN
7 - 1
ASP
63%
18%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
ASP
4 - 0
VIL
56%
19%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ORI
3 - 0
ASP
81%
11%
8%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |