AlzanoCene vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlzanoCene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
PER
1 - 1
ALZ
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ALZ
2 - 3
VOG
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
STG
1 - 2
ALZ
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALZ
2 - 2
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
ALZ
28%
24%
47%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
ACM
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
PER
17%
24%
59%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
VOG
30%
25%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
STG
0 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |