Alzano Virescit vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
ACL
1 - 1
ALV
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 1
ALV
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 3
MOD
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
BRE
0 - 0
ALV
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
ALV
2 - 2
VAR
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
CES
2 - 2
ABN
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
USA
1 - 1
CES
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
CES
0 - 0
ASL
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
39%
29%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
56%
26%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |