Alverna vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VVH
0 - 0
ALV
49%
22%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 3
SJC
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SIL
2 - 0
ALV
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALV
3 - 3
HOO
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ALV
4 - 1
DEM
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MSC
1 - 1
DIE
70%
16%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JOS
3 - 2
MSC
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MSC
5 - 1
SDO
66%
17%
17%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
DEB
2 - 1
MSC
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MSC
1 - 2
WOE
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |