FC Alverca vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALV
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 1
REA
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
USA
0 - 3
ALV
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
AMO
1 - 2
ALV
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 0
SCP
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
USA
0 - 0
UDL
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 1
SCP
50%
25%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
UDL
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 1
UDL
22%
24%
55%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 0
AMO
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |