FC Alverca vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
9º
3º
34
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 2
ALV
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
AMO
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 0
BEL
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
REA
1 - 2
ALV
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALV
4 - 0
ACA
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
40%
24%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
SCP
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SCP
0 - 1
AMO
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
SCP
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 2
GDF
45%
24%
30%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |