FC Alverca vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1999 |
ALV
2 - 1
VIT
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 3
ALV
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
ALV
1 - 3
FAR
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
BMA
2 - 1
ALV
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
ALV
0 - 1
RIO
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1999 |
SPB
2 - 0
RIO
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
EST
0 - 0
SPB
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
SPB
2 - 0
SCP
29%
26%
46%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
ACA
1 - 1
SPB
27%
28%
46%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
SPB
1 - 0
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |