FC Alverca vs Coutada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
ALV
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 1
TOJ
81%
14%
6%
|
62 | 14 | 48 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ALV
1 - 0
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
FEL
2 - 1
ALV
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ALV
1 - 0
VAR
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Coutada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
COU
0 - 1
OEI
12%
20%
68%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
COU
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |